Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Game 4 Odds, Prediction & Picks

May 11, 2024; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon (29) and Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) battle for the puck in the third period in game three of the second round of the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY SportsThe Colorado Avalanche are road favorites over the Dallas Stars in Game 4We’ve made our Avs vs Stars prediction for Monday’s NHL Playoff gameRead below for Avalanche vs Stars Game 4 odds, prediction and picks

The Dallas Stars will look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead over the Colorado Avalanche when the two teams play Game 4 of their Round 2 NHL Playoff series on Monday night. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:30pm ET with the game broadcast nationally on ESPN.

The Stars currently lead the series 2-1 after a convincing 4-1 road win in Game 3. The Avalanche opened as -130 moneyline favorites, but the line has shortened with Colorado at -135 and Dallas at +115 as of Monday afternoon.

Let’s get into the Avalanche vs Stars Game 4 odds, as we make our prediction and picks for Monday.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Odds – Game 4

Colorado is the -135 home favorite in the Monday NHL Playoff odds, giving them 57.4% implied probability to even the series.

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Odds as of May. 13. Unlock the Fanatics Sportsbook promo to bet on Stars vs Avalanche Game 4. 

Dallas Stars Betting Outlook

The Stars have seized control of the series by winning the last two games after dropping the opener in overtime. In Game 3, Dallas put forth a dominant defensive effort, limiting the high-powered Avalanche offense to just one goal. Goaltender Jake Oettinger was stellar once again, stopping 28 of 29 shots.

Huge 28 save win and a 2-1 series lead for Jake Oettinger and the Stars…

He spoke with Shane Hnidy after last night’s dub ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/ZbUp2WH5fl

— NHLonTNT (@NHL_On_TNT) May 12, 2024

Rookie forward Luke Stankoven scored his first two playoff goals, including an empty-netter to seal it. Veteran Tyler Seguin also tallied twice, giving him three goals in the last two games. The Stars were outshot 29-23 overall but did a tremendous job clogging up the neutral zone and blocking shots.

In the playoffs, Dallas is averaging 2.80 goals per game (T-7th) while allowing just 2.40 goals against (4th). Their power play has clicked at 29.2% (4th) and their penalty kill is 8th at 75.0%. On the road, the Stars have gone an impressive 6-2.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Outlook

Colorado finds itself trailing in a series for the first time since Game 1 of the opening round after their lackluster effort in Game 3. The Avalanche fell behind 1-0 in the first period and never recovered, mustering only Mikko Rantanen’s goal in the second period.

Their high-octane offense was stymied by the Stars’ structured defensive system. Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar were both held off the scoresheet. Goalie Alexandar Georgiev made 19 saves in the losing effort.

During the playoffs, the Avalanche lead all teams in scoring at 4.50 goals per game. However, they are just 11th defensively, yielding 3.38 goals against. Their power play remains lethal, converting at 33.3% (T-2nd), but the penalty kill is middle of the pack at 73.9% (9th). At home in the postseason, Colorado is 3-2.

Jonathan Drouin Injury Update

The big injury news revolves around Avalanche forward Jonathan Drouin. Coach Jared Bednar said Drouin will be a game-time decision for Game 4 after missing the entire playoffs so far with a lower-body injury suffered in the regular season finale.

The 29-year-old scored 19 goals and 56 points in 79 games this season. If he can play, Drouin would provide a boost to Colorado’s second line and power play unit.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Game 4 Prediction

Monday night is likely to be the most desperate game we’ve seen this Colorado team play in quite some time. The veteran leaders in the dressing room know they can’t afford to lose two straight home games to the Stars, especially considering their opponent’s frustrating defensive style.

The advanced stats paint Colorado as the more dominant team at even strength so far, with the Avs controlling 60.79% of the expected goals compared to 36.84 percent for Dallas. Goaltending has been major factor, with Jake Oettinger (.919 sv%) clearly outplaying Alex Georgiev (.893 sv%).

We’re not betting against a Colorado team with its backs against the wall. This is a veteran Avalanche team that lost just 11 home games all season. Furthermore, they are 6-1 in their last seven games following a home loss of 3+ goals.

The Stars are an enticing road underdog considering their goaltending edge, but this Avalanche team got at least four past Oettinger in all three regular-season meetings. Drouin’s return could help provide the spark MacKinnon’s line needs to get back on track.

Dallas vs Colorado Game 4 Pick:

Avalanche ML (-135)

 

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