Boston College vs Pittsburgh Odds, Lines & Predictions

Nov 3, 2023; Syracuse, New York, USA; Boston College Eagles quarterback Thomas Castellanos (1) celebrates his touchdown run with teammate offensive lineman Christian Mahogany (73) against the Syracuse Orange during the second half at the JMA Wireless Dome. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY SportsBoston College faces Pittsburgh in a Thursday night ACC college football clashThe latest odds price the Eagles as 2.5-point underdogs against the PanthersRead below for Boston College vs Pitt odds and predictions for November 16th

The Boston College Eagles (6-4) are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Panthers (2-8) this Thursday in a primetime ACC matchup. The game will kick off at 7 PM ET and will be televised on ESPN.

The latest ESPN Bet odds price the Panthers as 2.5-point favorites at Acrisure Stadium, with the over/under offered at 45.5.

Let’s analyze the odds and offer you our Boston College vs Pitt prediction.

Boston College vs Pitt Odds

Pittsburgh is a -135 home favorite in this game, implying there is a 56% chance the Panthers win against the Eagles outright.

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Eagles Betting Analysis

Boston College comes into this game with a 6-4 record overall and 3-3 in ACC play. Jeff Hafley’s team is currently eligible for a bowl game, which is a significant aspect of this matchup considering the Panthers won’t be playing in a bowl game this season.

Boston College had their five-game winning streak snapped last week in a 48-22 blowout loss to Virginia Tech as 2.5-point home underdogs. The Eagles allowed 363 rushing yards and gave up 31 first-half points in the defeat. Offensively, QB Thomas Castellanos struggled, throwing for just 110 yards with one TD and two INTs.

On the season, Castellanos has 1,824 passing yards with 13 TDs and nine INTs, while also leading the team in rushing with 806 yards and 10 TDs. WR Lewis Bond is the top receiver with 500 yards and five TDs, while LB Vinny DePalma leads the defense with 76 tackles.

The Eagles will be looking to rely on their ACC-leading rushing attack Thursday, as it’s averaging over 200 yards per game. It’s a big reason the team has covered the spread in six of their 10 games so far.

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Panthers Betting Analysis

Pittsburgh has struggled to a 2-8 record this season, including just one conference win. The Panthers did pull off that impressive upset victory over Louisville back in October, but that’s looking like an outlier for Pat Narduzzi’s club.

Pittsburgh lost their fourth straight game last week, falling 28-13 on the road to Syracuse as 4.5-point underdogs. The Panthers managed just 171 total yards on offense. Pittsburgh is averaging just 19.9 points per game this season, last in the ACC.

QB Christian Veilleux threw for 161 yards with 1 TD and one INT in the loss. On the season, he has thrown for 1,179 yards with seven TDs and eight INTs since taking over as the starter. RB Rodney Hammond leads the rushing attack with 381 yards and three TDs, while WR Bub Means has a team-high 518 receiving yards and four TDs.

Pitt’s biggest strength this season might be its secondary which is giving up only 213 yards per game through the air. However, the rushing defense has struggled and the Panthers are still allowing nearly 30 points per game.

Boston College vs Pitt Prediction

It’s very hard to feel confident in this Pittsburgh team, even though they are on their home field Thursday. The Panthers offense has simply been miserable, averaging only 11 points per game in the last four weeks.

Boston College enters this game with the top rushing offense in the ACC, averaging 202 yards per game, and we think they’ll be able to use their ground attack to control the game tempo on the road. The Panthers have a bottom-five rushing defense (157 ypg) and haven’t had an answer for elite rushing attacks.

We believe the wrong team is favored in this game, and there might be some big-money bettors who agree. In the college football public betting splits, the Eagles are receiving 74% of the moneyline handle with only 21% of bets.

Our best Boston College vs Pitt prediction is for the Eagles to keep this game within a field goal at minimum. This line has shifted to +2.5 since writing, but you can buy back the half point at ESPN and sprinkle on the BC moneyline to maximize your value.

Picks:

Boston College +3 (-130)Boston College ML (+115)

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